May 14, 2008

San Diego Mortgage Rates Report: May 14, 2008

Lock all mortgage rates immediately.  This is a stagflation fear we're seeing:

The central bank can't be ``complacent about inflation,'' Janet Yellen, president of the Fed Bank of San Francisco, said in a speech yesterday. Recent measures of consumers' outlook for prices ``highlight the risk that our attempts to deal with problems in the real economy could lead to higher inflation expectations and an erosion of our credibility,'' she said.   

Yellen also said she anticipates inflation will slow as the labor market weakens and ``commodity prices level off,'' echoing comments by other policy makers.   

Investors project the Fed will keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at its next meeting on June 25. That would be the first pause since the central bank started cutting rates in September.           

Rising prices from overseas, reflecting the drop in the dollar, are another source of concern. U.S. businesses have leeway to boost prices as companies abroad charge more.

The mortgage markets will overreact for the next 5-10 days.  Mortgage rates should shoot up quickly.

May 12, 2008

San Diego Mortgage Rates Report: May 12, 2008

San Diego mortgage rates dropped, then rose to their original level, last week.  I've been advising  mortgage borrowers to lock all rates at application, regardless of closing date.  Did I miss an opportunity to improve clients' rates?  I don't think so.  My approach is more one of limiting losses than improving gains and last week, I thought there was a threat of higher mortgage rates in San Diego; I still do.

Inflation data is released Wednesday and Unemployment data is due out Thursday.  These two figures could be the tempest in the teapot and really affect mortgage rates.  We just think there is too much risk to be floating (holding out for a better rate).  If markets overreact (and they usually do) we'll change that recommendation but for now, we think it's prudent to lock your mortgage rates.

Currently, the 5/1 ARM offers the best value at 4.875% wholesale rate.  The 30 year fixed rate loan is 5.875% wholesale rate.  While there is risk in losing the rate after 5 years, most borrowers don't hold a mortgage that long.  If you are thinking of moving in the next few years, it would be well to examine the benefits of refinancing your home loan to a low 5/1 ARM rate.

Contact me at (858)-777-9751 with more questions.

May 08, 2008

Central Phoenix Free Wi-Fi: Drip Coffee Lounge

Gina Madrid is the proprietor of Drip Coffee Lounge, in Central Phoenix.  She's one of those unique urban business people that knows how to "recycle" properties.  Her coffee lounge, about two years old, is located at 2325 N. 7th Street (just north of the I-10 freeway.

Gina offers her customers free wi-fi in an eclectic, funky shop.  The morning coffee is Americano; strong and plenty of it.  I had a cup with my two-hour morning e-mail catch up.  There is a "private" alcove, Gina calls the VIP lounge.  I ran off to a meeting and returned to Drip to have anamazing "Italian" sandwich, for lunch.  It was good enough to pass this former Jersey-boy's taste test.

The food's awesome, the wi-fi is free, and Gina's awfully attentive to her customers.  Phoenix real estate investors will find this to be a great place to sit down, get connected, and get fed.

PS- My cell is dead so I can't take pictures.  I"ll try on my next visit.

May 02, 2008

San Diego Mortgage Rates Report: May 2, 2008

Let's lock all mortgages rates at application, regardless of when its closing.  I think this is about as good as it gets for a while.  I still see 30 year fixed rates a tad under 6% (5.875%) but the good economic data, released today, could drive San Diego mortgage rates up next week.

I recommend a 7/1 ARM today.  Rates offered for a 7/1 ARM, for loans under $417,000, are OVER a half a percentage point less than the 30 year fixed (5.25%).  Most borrowers will feel comfortable with a seven year time frame.  This means that 5.25% rate is locked in for 7 years- that's until 2015.

(all loans offered to the consumer at the wholesale or "par" rate.  We are paid 1% by the consumer.)

To give you an idea of how long 7 years is, Disneyland's California Adventure opened in early 2001.  You probably thought it was around forever.

The bond traders won't be merciful next week unless recessionary data are overwhelming.  Jump on these low rates now.

April 29, 2008

Removing Bias from Mortgage Origination

This article was published on HomeScape, last week.  As you can see, it drew the ire of an originator at a direct lender:

If you’ve read the business section of your newspaper this past year, you know that the mortgage industry is in an uproar. The years of “easy money” are long gone. More than 200 national and local mortgage lenders have ceased operations since 2006. Surviving mortgage companies are now adhering to the mantra of “fiscal responsibility” and have tightened the requirements to get a mortgage loan.

Building a relationship

Many homeowners are suffering from this modern day credit crunch. The lack of available mortgage money has driven many owners into foreclosure or to a forced short sale. The increased inventory has driven down housing prices, which in turn has caused lenders to scrutinize mortgage transactions with a finer-toothed comb. A slippery slope indeed.

It’s clear that past borrowers received some pretty poor advice from their mortgage advisers. Borrowers, however, are not blameless. Borrowers shirked the due diligence required to obtain the proper mortgage and are now crying “VICTIM.” Sadly, that cry is pointless when the sheriff sells the home on the courthouse steps.

At the heart of the problem is the relationship the borrower has with his mortgage adviser. Loan originators have absolutely no fiduciary responsibility to a borrower. The only responsibility a bank loan officer or direct lender has, is to her employer. If you can obtain a loan, according to the published guidelines, there’s a financial incentive for your adviser to loan you as much money as possible, regardless of your financial goals.

Mortgage brokers and their employees offer a better chance at an unbiased relationship.  But even with this scenario, their compensation is tainted by the irresponsible use of yield spread premium. Rather than use yield spread premium as a tool to lower borrowing costs, many unscrupulous mortgage brokers improperly disclosed that compensation and used it to line their pockets.

Unbiased financial advice

How then, can a borrower level the playing field and get the mortgage adviser to truly offer unbiased financial advice? The Federal Reserve Bank has some suggestions about how to do just that and ethical mortgage brokers have been following the model for years now. The Fed recommendation calls to negotiate a broker compensation agreement before the loan application is submitted. Prenegotiated mortgage brokerage fees remove the appearance of bias and put the mortgage adviser on the same side of the table as the client. The idea of up-selling a product is then done with the client’s best interest at heart. Recommended loan amounts become a strategic financial planning implementation rather than a way for the adviser to earn a higher commission.

Sometimes borrowers improperly shop for mortgage loans by trying to get the lowest rate and lowest fees. It is virtually impossible to get the lowest rate on your home loan. But rather than engage in the circular practice of mortgage shopping, borrowers might shop advisers instead. Depending on the loan size, mortgage brokers typically earn between 1 percent and 2 percent of the loan amount. Fees ranging from $3,000 to $6,000 — inclusive of broker processing and administration fees — are typical in this market.

Find a loan adviser whom you trust and negotiate a fee for her services. Be transparent with the information you offer. Communicate your short and long-term goals with her, and allow her to make a suitable loan recommendation, mutually exclusive of the fee she earns.